Four
Steps
to Obtain Population
Forecasts
2. For public schools, all you do is send us current enrollment data at this link << Population Forecasting >>.
3. We develop an up-to-date demographic analysis for your service area.
4. Within a reasonable time frame, we provide the population forecast according to the medium you select, which may be an online presentation in pdf or a bound report. If you need a formal presentation of our findings, we will make arrangements to hold a meeting and explain our process and findings.
About
Forecasting
Population
We
customize
population
forecasting models based on demographic data. Our
models utilize various statistical forecasting techniques such as
Bayesian, regression, and grade progression. The TPEG serves business,
health care, recreation operations, school
districts, planning districts, and state agencies. We will
contract to deliver a population
forecast for 5 to 50 years into the future, depending on your needs.
The
System
Forecast by Grade Level
n
=
5 years in the forecast.
| Name
of
School or System
|
Forecast Year (1 ) |
...
to
... |
Forecast Year (5) |
|
Grade Levels |
|
|
|
| . . . |
. . . |
. . . |
. . . |
| . . . |
. . . |
. . . |
. . . |
|
Totals by Grade Levels |
TGL1 |
... to ... |
TGL5 |
|
|
|
||
| System Totals |
|
|
|
|
Elementary Schools |
EST1 |
... to ... |
EST5 |
|
Middle Schools |
MST1 |
... to ... |
MST5 |
|
High Schools |
HST1 |
... to ... |
HST5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
School System - Grand Total |
GT1 |
... to ... |
GT5 |
This same service area contracted with TPEG to complete a demographic analysis for the purpose of locating a new hospital. We used time, distance, and density variables in our locater models for locating the hospital. The density aspects of the student population analysis helped guide our location analysis for the hospital.
Maps such as this may further be
broken down into census tract and block
levels.