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Leading & Empowering Educational Organizations to Design Programs & Age-Appropriate Learning Environments for Students!

Contract with the TFPG to do your Annual Student Population Forecasting - Never Worry With This Again!

1.  We establish a basic data set from your student enrollments.
2.  All you do is send us current enrollment data at this link << Student Population Forecasting >>.
3.  The TFPG develops an up-to-date demographic analysis for your school district's service area.
4.  Within 10 working days, TFPG sends you the 5 or 10-year student population forecast in the format that you request.
5.  We keep your information in in our files and every year, at the time you designate, the TFPG will send you your
     updated 5 or 10-year forecast.  This activity may be completed more frequently if requested.

About Forecasting Student Population With the TFPG

Providing student population forecasting and planning services requires a wide range of skills, accompanied by knowledge, patience, and a genuine concern for excellence.  We customize student population forecasting models based on local data, the context of the school demographics, region, and  surrounding geographical areas.  The TFPG can complete student population forecasts  for school districts, planning districts, and state agencies quickly and efficiently. 

We will contract to deliver a 5-year system level student population forecast within 5 working days after we receive the data. Likewise, a 10-year forecast can be delivered within 10 working days after we receive the data.  The price for this service is based on the amount of work that TFPG must complete to retrieve the required data and the development of a customized forecasting model.  The more data provided by the client, the lower the cost of the forecast.

A 10-year forecast by school attendance area by grade level, accompanied by a demographic analysis, will require approximately 25 - 30 working days.  This extended service may include demographic and area analysis plus density maps by census tract and/or block .  The cost of this service is dependent on the amount of detail required by the client such as density mapping and detailed descriptions and explanations of demographic trends.

Request  Data Entry Forms Needed From the School District or Agency!

Please see an example of a our most basic system-level 5-year forecast below:

Table 1 reveals the basic scenario assuming the future years will approximate modeled trends in economics, population growth, and school curriculum.                        

Table 1

The System Forecast by Grade Level

n = # of years in the forecast.

Name of School or System

Forecast Year (1 )

... to ...

Forecast Year (5) 

Grade Levels




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Totals by Grade Levels

TGL1


... to ...

TGL5


 


 

System Totals

 


 

Elementary Schools

EST1
... to ...

EST5

Middle Schools

MST1

... to ...

MST5

High Schools

HST1
... to ...

HST5

 

 


 

School System - Grand Total

GT1

... to ...

GT5

Below is one example of a student population density map with 5 density levels:
TFPG Student Population Density Map Created With Census and GIS Data!

Density Map

Maps such as this may be broken down into census tract and block levels.  We also provide Power Point slides for clients that want to present the findings to governing boards.

© 2008 Tanner Forecasting and Planning Group
 

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